New markets, resolved markets and upsets

Two pages cover the two ends of a market's life. New lists questions that have been newly listed and that people are already trading. Resolved lists what recently settled, what traders expected the day before and which results were upsets.

#New markets

Select New in the row of Predictions pages. The page lists markets newly listed on the venues that already have trading, newest first, as cards. It shows up to 36 of them, and the topic chips, headed All topics, narrow the list to one topic.

Open New

Each card is the same card you meet everywhere on Predictions. See How to read prediction market odds. The overview has a New and already busy box with an All new markets › link.

#Resolved markets

Select Resolved in the row of Predictions pages. The page lists what markets recently settled on, over about the last three weeks.

Open Resolved

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Each row shows:

• The question, as a link to its page.
• Settled and the result in bold, such as the winning side or the final figure.
• What traders expected. The line under the question says Chance a day before: 36% for a question with a winner, or Median a day before for a question about a number, then the topic, the venue and when it closed. If a market had been followed for less than a day, the line says at the last reading instead.
• Upset, a tag on a result that traders gave under 30% the day before.

The two tabs at the top choose All results or only Upsets. The topic chips narrow the page to one topic.

#Open a result

Select a question to open its page. A settled market's page has a Settled line, the last odds before it closed and the chart of how they moved. See Read a market's page.